Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d43e35431c108e97b103488f57ecb66d4363f5e3d4a0bf55eaf595d1e36b1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Vitality | 55c | 3,494$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.04 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,094$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.41 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Vitality | 51c | 2,064$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.49 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Team Vitality | 49c | 1,729$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 1,363$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Liquid | 48c | 506$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Vitality | 45c | 482$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Vitality | 54c | 302.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Vitality | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Vitality | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Vitality | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid | 74c | 142.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Vitality | 42c | 115.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Team Vitality | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Team Vitality | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…cc11backed Team Vitality | 41c | 61.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Team Vitality | 44c | 55.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Team Vitality | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…9782backed Team Vitality | 42c | 30.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Vitality | 56c | 27.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Team Liquid | 73c | 22.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Team Vitality | 51c | 22.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Rounds Over/Under 49.5Over won
- Total Rounds Over/Under 50.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.