TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Vitalityof Team Liquid, Team Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17039545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Vitality78c747.59$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0162156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Team Liquid25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Vitality78c263$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5625752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Team Liquid31c219.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686068.3%41 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Liquid15c177$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5523644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f9e…f22bbacked Team Vitality54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464731.9%15 W · 32 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb898…2c45backed Team Liquid46c87.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95d8…2922backed Team Vitality58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5959…4c4cbacked Team Liquid32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Team Vitality55c28.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7424732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddf…c9a6backed Team Liquid51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d04…5794backed Team Vitality55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Team Vitality80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.