La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078b93ae052a9e1324b6e2c8be030e7907225d64e11dbe2a14b9564258d98f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 36c | 74,514$26,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,823.65 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 11,199$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.51 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 5,848$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.85 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 4,662$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.55 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Yes | 39c | 3,097$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 2,388$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.77 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,752$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.07 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 4c | 1,275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 14c | 707$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 16c | 620.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 64c | 478.52$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Yes | 35c | 406.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 65c | 402.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 31c | 388.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 324.77$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 26c | 307$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 210.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 192$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 63c | 161.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 24c | 122.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 64c | 116.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed No | 64c | 116.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 64c | 106.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 35c | 80.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 64c | 74.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Yes | 37c | 48.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed No | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 31.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 64c | 26.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 72c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…c78abacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.