La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ef62af14adbe1d0a06f1188643ba6e0e01935a58a5eab455b06c312853b10a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 68c | 54,278$36,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,906.38 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 32,795$10,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,300.65 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.88 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 17,500$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,900 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 13,319$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,254.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,875$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.13 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 2,635$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.8 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,979$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.99 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 1,152$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.58 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed No | 41c | 1,049$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 511$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 413.21$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 20c | 363.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 322$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.96 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 44c | 232.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 33c | 226.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 220$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 33c | 214.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 32c | 207.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 32c | 193.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 19c | 176.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 32c | 159.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Yes | 77c | 130.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 95.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 57c | 87.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 32c | 74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 32c | 71.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 55.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 54.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 50.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…d882backed Yes | 32c | 45.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Yes | 32c | 41.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 69c | 30.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.