Earnings · resolved market
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b22cff7960224201062f687c5632ed82f03dee0c22081e2a9f280c29ba6e48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5076…83d3backed No | 32c | 1,112$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 27c | 1,008$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.99 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 68c | 515$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.86 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 505$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.25 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 36c | 447.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 69c | 425$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc21…cde3backed Yes | 74c | 403.59$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 52c | 274.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 221$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 51c | 210.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 72c | 199$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 29c | 175$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 69c | 160$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…a56bbacked Yes | 70c | 134$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 32c | 118$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 45c | 101.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…f6a4backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 67c | 96.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 71c | 95.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 72c | 83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 72c | 82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 45c | 79.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 33c | 70.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 40c | 70.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…3827backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…1751backed Yes | 61c | 56.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked Yes | 67c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…4012backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 54c | 47.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 56c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 69c | 34.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 68c | 33.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 181 | 35.4%64 W · 117 L | -14.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -17.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…9338backed Yes | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…2f81backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…e856backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Yes | 74c | 17.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…0cacbacked Yes | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de0…869fbacked Yes | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.