Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd0ecba40776755dc52e72b85c790f6ae5a5e9ad63ade4f5c65704c89facafe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 2,139$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.88 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 4c | 1,832$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,212$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 836.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 635.8$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 434.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…1870backed Yes | 6c | 411.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 589 | 22.8%134 W · 455 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 29c | 383.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 355.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 320.78$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 4c | 309.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 64c | 292.76$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 28c | 269.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 262.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Yes | 36c | 257.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 246.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 234.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 45c | 226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 209.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 30c | 205.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 203.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 15c | 199.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 175.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 74c | 173$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…559fbacked Yes | 41c | 166.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 157.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e428backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…5e72backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 147.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 34c | 145.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 19c | 132.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 30c | 127.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 66c | 125.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 117.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 34c | 117.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 72c | 113.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 73c | 106.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 14c | 103.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 102.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…dfe9backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 98.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 56c | 95.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 88.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 58c | 83.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 75.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 74.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 25c | 72.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 70.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 23c | 70.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 30c | 67.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…5caebacked Yes | 29c | 66.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 52c | 66.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 31c | 64.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 70c | 64.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 63.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 59c | 61.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 62c | 61.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed No | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 60.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…4328backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 32c | 58.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 56.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 28c | 55.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…0b45backed No | 69c | 54.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 75c | 52.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 35c | 50.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 49.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…daa4backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 42c | 47.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 33c | 44.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…cf39backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 61c | 40.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 106 | 71.7%76 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…1698backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 29c | 37.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.