Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a527b13d4de4cb797e73952989863c5668e924e6965cc612753ed1832cc60c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,506$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.05 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 4c | 2,997$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.2 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…286bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,570$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 65c | 2,220$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.91 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 14c | 1,826$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 17c | 1,607$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.04 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 8c | 1,277$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 13c | 1,220$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 38c | 1,123$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.34 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 29c | 835.83$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 805.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 8c | 770$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.26 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 40c | 768.12$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 52c | 687.2$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 2c | 664.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.02 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked No | 80c | 607$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.44 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 28c | 584.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…c6d1backed No | 20c | 570$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 11c | 521.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 519.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +256.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.5 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked No | 4c | 490.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 67c | 476.16$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 52c | 459.38$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 5c | 444.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 440.97$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 5c | 439.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 55c | 437.8$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 37c | 408.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 40c | 384.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 39c | 379.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 34c | 358$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 22c | 316.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 17c | 309.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…9af4backed Yes | 5c | 308.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +650.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 8c | 308.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.03 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 25c | 307.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 26c | 299.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 10c | 275.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 272.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 39c | 272.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 246.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 231.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 8c | 225.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 79c | 219.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…e483backed Yes | 7c | 199.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 61c | 190.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 11c | 186.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 11c | 185.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 70c | 182.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed No | 80c | 182.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 33c | 181.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…46a8backed Yes | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…0a90backed Yes | 14c | 143.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…a01dbacked Yes | 74c | 134.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 133.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 62c | 131.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Yes | 80c | 125.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 21c | 125.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 55c | 112.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 102.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed No | 20c | 102.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…1df6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 38c | 97.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked No | 55c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 87.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 79c | 79.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 29c | 77.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 54c | 67.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 34c | 66.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 40c | 64.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 65c | 61.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 65c | 61.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked No | 20c | 58.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 68c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 41c | 53.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 19c | 53.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 52.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 65c | 51.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked Yes | 24c | 48.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 24c | 48.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 52c | 46.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 36c | 40.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…279abacked No | 32c | 35.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…e7dcbacked Yes | 58c | 34.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…3a4ebacked No | 47c | 32.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 54c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 53c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.