Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b885ab75d4bf32cd17c5b92c105be89fcecf9dbddb3d0cfcc4e24956080eb7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 0c | 7,242$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 2,124$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 18c | 1,463$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.91 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 17c | 1,388$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…286bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,276$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 14c | 828.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 19c | 822.25$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked No | 75c | 692.17$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 13c | 684.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 610.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked Yes | 12c | 536.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 78c | 382.01$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 27c | 365.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 20c | 324.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 73c | 320.8$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 319.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 314.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 20c | 287.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 284.62$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 22c | 242.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 236.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 80c | 235.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 12c | 215.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 21c | 214$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 193.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 26c | 171.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 167.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 157.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 16c | 154.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 18c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 76c | 145$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 16c | 134.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 31c | 132.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 10c | 128.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 12c | 123.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 65c | 122.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 120.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 116.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 79c | 108.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 11c | 101.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 20c | 97.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 17c | 90.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 13c | 89.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 17c | 78.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 15c | 70.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 79c | 70.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 34c | 69.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 24c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 23c | 67.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed Yes | 16c | 66.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 40c | 64.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 30c | 62.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 79c | 56.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 23c | 55.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 19c | 54.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 19c | 53.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…9351backed Yes | 31c | 53.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…7127backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…daa4backed Yes | 32c | 47.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 24c | 42.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 40.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 26c | 40.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked No | 79c | 37.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 78c | 31.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 71c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 75c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 106 | 71.7%76 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 77c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…4e33backed No | 78c | 17.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 76c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed No | 80c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.