Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde389a2c087c14a7cefa72775502894c31fbc3d0bd6d9198b88f28ac8b87df2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,524$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.24 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 57c | 1,991$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.85 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 1c | 1,901$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed Yes | 48c | 1,679$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 26c | 1,170$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.54 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,011$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.5 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 40c | 955.9$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.71 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…433dbacked No | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 59c | 881.38$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.87 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 53c | 830.76$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 59c | 826.11$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 63c | 639$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 40c | 625.84$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 51c | 607$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 26c | 492$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.47 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 58c | 481$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 55c | 455.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 58c | 428.46$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 403.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 391.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 33c | 284.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 61c | 272.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 250.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 208.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 44c | 195.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 28c | 188.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 73c | 154.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 41c | 152.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 59c | 151.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 67c | 142.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 32c | 133.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 40c | 131.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 44c | 127.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 36c | 122.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 51c | 118.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 48c | 112.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 32c | 110.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 42c | 109.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 32c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked No | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…232bbacked Yes | 41c | 103.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…433abacked Yes | 42c | 96.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 36c | 91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 89.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 40c | 87.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 59c | 87.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 40c | 85.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 62c | 85.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…d09cbacked No | 38c | 82.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 27c | 77.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 63.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…ba08backed Yes | 40c | 63.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 62.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 33c | 59.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed Yes | 26c | 57.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 56c | 50.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2a…a4a4backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…ef3dbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…2db0backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…72a0backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…8227backed No | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…362cbacked No | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed No | 47c | 38.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…00c6backed No | 77c | 38.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 60c | 35.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…40fbbacked No | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 34.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…5444backed No | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…44dabacked No | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…64e0backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2656backed Yes | 43c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 39c | 28.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 58c | 28.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…2315backed No | 61c | 27.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 61c | 26.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 42c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…41e5backed Yes | 68c | 26.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…4206backed No | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 62c | 22.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…a580backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 54c | 21.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…97c1backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…2453backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…b2fcbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…2672backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.