Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ec5fceb3a015a55a7c3b397f4b9bba5eb5df58f49d418155ad0406c87019d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cb1…9f20backed Yes | 35c | 1,839$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed Yes | 5c | 1,324$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 28c | 1,254$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 73c | 1,012$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…03a5backed Yes | 34c | 883.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 40c | 780.25$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.55 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 56c | 722.63$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.96 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 71c | 658.19$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 61c | 623.26$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 27c | 588.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 15c | 493.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Yes | 45c | 444.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 61c | 436.35$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 71c | 412.51$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 363$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78b…206ebacked Yes | 9c | 339.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 59c | 330$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 75c | 295.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked No | 54c | 222$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 210$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…8e82backed Yes | 34c | 203.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 21c | 199.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 197$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 31c | 185$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 65c | 172.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5393backed Yes | 44c | 161.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 31c | 147.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 57c | 141.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed No | 53c | 116.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 104.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 62c | 102.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 97.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…8325backed Yes | 38c | 93.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 66c | 87.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes | 26c | 87.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 59c | 86.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 59c | 84.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 69c | 77.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 63.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 59.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes | 31c | 57.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…1746backed Yes | 30c | 49.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 30c | 48.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked No | 56c | 40.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 60c | 35.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 35c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked No | 50c | 24.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 57c | 23.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…f7b0backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf997…feb9backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Senegal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.