Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985d19c4fd6cc1c360642751fd4de307f808a17a7c79adfc9797e345ce05fd25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,549$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 31c | 523.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 77c | 514.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 404.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 30c | 299.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 18c | 285.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 30c | 256.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed No | 80c | 256.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed No | 70c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2f…fb48backed Yes | 29c | 212$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 198.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 192.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 178.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 27c | 168.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 62c | 149.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 69c | 145.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 24c | 132.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 128$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 34c | 121.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 27c | 113.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 45c | 112.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 41c | 110.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 30c | 105.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 100.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 65c | 91.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 88.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 28c | 88.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 17c | 84.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 20c | 81.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 36c | 78.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 75.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 69c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 27c | 74.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 30c | 71.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 19c | 69.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…e548backed No | 71c | 69.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 18c | 66.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 66c | 65.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 31c | 65.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 38c | 64.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 63.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 77c | 62.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 79c | 60.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked Yes | 31c | 60.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 60c | 58.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed No | 68c | 57.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…ba8bbacked Yes | 38c | 53.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 24c | 52.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 23c | 52.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 26c | 51.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed No | 77c | 51.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed Yes | 40c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…e758backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 49.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 30c | 48.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 44.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 34c | 41.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 41.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 67c | 40.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…c1e6backed Yes | 33c | 40.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 33c | 39.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 63c | 39.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 33c | 38.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 71c | 37.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 70c | 36.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 77c | 35.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked Yes | 40c | 34.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 31.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 71c | 29.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…0af0backed Yes | 35c | 29.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…06fbbacked No | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 75c | 29.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 69c | 29.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.