MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e34c4a590f9a6f5ed8e2bda41229af49f5e95f3644a4110beedb1de65c5357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $655,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Rockies | 34c | 557,280$191,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365,809.6 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Cardinals | 65c | 312,272$204,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,383.32 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cardinals | 66c | 51,079$33,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,712.14 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 66c | 44,688$29,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,343.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 66c | 28,738$18,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,967.08 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cardinals | 66c | 28,626$18,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,893.04 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked Cardinals | 66c | 21,884$14,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,443.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cardinals | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 65c | 13,000$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,450 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rockies | 14c | 8,043$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.06 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 40c | 7,114$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 66c | 6,551$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies | 50c | 6,097$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockies | 34c | 5,572$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.88 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 60c | 5,331$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 33c | 5,329$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.47 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals | 66c | 5,250$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.11 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Cardinals | 66c | 4,320$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 66c | 4,062$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.69 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cardinals | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.15 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cardinals | 19c | 3,681$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.38 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 66c | 3,438$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.49 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Cardinals | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…918fbacked Cardinals | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rockies | 33c | 2,236$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.94 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rockies | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.92 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Cardinals | 67c | 1,880$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Rockies | 34c | 1,722$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockies | 34c | 1,698$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.94 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Rockies | 17c | 1,533$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.96 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cardinals | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cardinals | 67c | 1,317$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.63 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Cardinals | 69c | 932.68$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.11 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…1f30backed Cardinals | 65c | 924$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e67abacked Rockies | 35c | 914$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Rockies | 24c | 900.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 33c | 899.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…021cbacked Rockies | 35c | 886$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Cardinals | 65c | 876$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 33c | 820$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.4 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 66c | 808$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.15 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cardinals | 66c | 729.41$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Cardinals | 66c | 709.09$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 68c | 708.24$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 68c | 631.4$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Rockies | 52c | 612.57$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 66c | 599.97$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.63 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Rockies | 43c | 598.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cardinals | 66c | 596.29$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.34 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 33c | 541$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…9a36backed Cardinals | 73c | 510$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies | 49c | 492.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 75c | 486.69$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 68c | 462.13$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 67c | 450$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 32c | 433.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.62 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rockies | 35c | 414.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.66 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 65c | 397.9$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.11 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 47c | 393.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 67c | 378.38$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Cardinals | 72c | 322.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 66c | 303$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Rockies | 33c | 298.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Cardinals | 66c | 284.85$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Rockies | 29c | 280.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.77 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 66c | 280.3$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rockies | 23c | 246.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 17c | 225$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cardinals | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rockies | 33c | 188.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Cardinals | 68c | 185.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cardinals | 65c | 174.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Rockies | 24c | 163.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Cardinals | 67c | 161.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Rockies | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaea…7918backed Rockies | 8c | 153.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cardinals | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Cardinals | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed Cardinals | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…a30ebacked Cardinals | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 70c | 151.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Cardinals | 66c | 150.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Cardinals | 66c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Cardinals | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Cardinals | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Cardinals | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…5f1abacked Rockies | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.