MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24741cacd99b8e5e666ae8b3e386a5e09b469c7f98e91bb3158da2fd6d98658d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $805,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $830,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $805,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 574 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Giants | 44c | 500,933$219,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,189.24 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 56c | 276,106$155,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,924.28 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Giants | 44c | 153,488$67,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,534.63 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 57c | 77,345$44,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,258.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 57c | 61,374$34,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,482.44 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 56c | 52,032$29,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,894.08 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 56c | 51,594$28,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,687.22 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 57c | 24,000$13,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,320 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 57c | 10,474$5,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.08 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 55c | 9,334$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.33 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Padres | 57c | 8,681$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.52 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 56c | 7,200$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 56c | 6,150$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Giants | 45c | 5,700$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 44c | 5,009$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.88 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants | 42c | 4,903$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.36 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 58c | 4,877$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 42c | 4,830$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.41 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Padres | 56c | 4,740$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.6 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 43c | 4,734$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.71 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 40c | 4,722$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.68 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 58c | 4,680$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.58 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 56c | 4,564$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.86 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Padres | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Giants | 3c | 4,200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Padres | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Giants | 13c | 2,800$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 42c | 2,760$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.93 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Padres | 56c | 2,520$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 59c | 1,819$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.79 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Padres | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Padres | 56c | 1,634$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.43 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 58c | 1,593$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.78 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 59c | 1,350$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.4 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Giants | 43c | 1,343$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.45 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Padres | 59c | 1,267$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.35 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Padres | 56c | 1,266$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Giants | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Giants | 42c | 1,255$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.17 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Padres | 58c | 1,221$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.69 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Giants | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…7818backed Padres | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 4c | 1,059$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…99f6backed Giants | 45c | 1,050$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Padres | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Padres | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Giants | 42c | 876$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.92 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 40c | 582.93$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.11 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Giants | 2c | 501.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 57c | 500.03$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Padres | 59c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…3aa6backed Giants | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…d3b3backed Padres | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Giants | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Padres | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Padres | 58c | 313.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 33c | 283.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 56c | 267.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Giants | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 42c | 209.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Giants | 44c | 200.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.