World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa66f644cd38fcd2cfc1bee41417ad4ca9b55175abc34532ff785165ccdf749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 71c | 1,085$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.32 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 702.47$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.29 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 76c | 598.41$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 457.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.35 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 451.82$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 69c | 428.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 54c | 383.84$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 78c | 334.42$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 31c | 330$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 71c | 329.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 313.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…018bbacked Yes | 68c | 288.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 64c | 279.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 30cpaid | +236.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 51c | 267.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.09 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…a68abacked Yes | 38c | 261.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 57c | 256.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 66c | 245.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 38c | 245.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 16c | 244.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 23c | 230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 28c | 224.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…8a94backed Yes | 45c | 221.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 218.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Yes | 54c | 211.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 209.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 201.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 194.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 37c | 191.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 37c | 174.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 63c | 166.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 43c | 164.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 37c | 161.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 156.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 63c | 139.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 60c | 132.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 39c | 128.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 56c | 119.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 25c | 118.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 57c | 115.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 114.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 58c | 102.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 101.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 41c | 100.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 45c | 96.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…7f34backed No | 64c | 95.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 68c | 95.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 32c | 94.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 91.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 37c | 90.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 87.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 46c | 85.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 60c | 83.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 79.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed Yes | 37c | 76.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 20c | 76.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 60c | 75.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…eae5backed No | 20c | 71.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…c2c8backed Yes | 45c | 66.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 24c | 65.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 39c | 64.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 39c | 63.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 33c | 60.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 56c | 58.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 64c | 57.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 37c | 56.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 70c | 54.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 54c | 53.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 53.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 72c | 52.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 58c | 52.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 33c | 52.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…558fbacked Yes | 35c | 47.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 64c | 46.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…12eebacked Yes | 36c | 45.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 32c | 45.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 31c | 44.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 25c | 44.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 38c | 43.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 66c | 42.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…1751backed Yes | 39c | 42.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 24c | 42.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…2920backed Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…d749backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fc3fbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed No | 66c | 39.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.