MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e46c66d74302f507f67c4c274d8adf15e6f460610e6b6df8934915d5662b259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Red Sox, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $806,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Astros | 59c | 603,149$355,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247,290.98 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 41c | 428,788$175,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,802.91 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…e1b4backed Red Sox | 37c | 65,938$24,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,118.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 41c | 61,391$25,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,170.28 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 41c | 48,600$19,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,926 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 41c | 29,558$12,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,118.77 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 63c | 20,185$12,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,522.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 41c | 14,790$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,063.9 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 41c | 11,753$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.79 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 59c | 9,792$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.53 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 62c | 9,451$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…bf7bbacked Astros | 70c | 7,907$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed Red Sox | 41c | 7,800$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Red Sox | 41c | 6,354$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.07 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 58c | 6,284$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.41 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 60c | 6,031$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.84 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Astros | 59c | 5,200$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Sox | 41c | 5,089$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.37 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Astros | 59c | 5,075$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Astros | 64c | 5,060$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.91 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Red Sox | 41c | 4,900$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 42c | 4,419$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Astros | 59c | 3,900$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Red Sox | 41c | 3,900$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Astros | 62c | 3,239$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.86 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Red Sox | 8c | 2,940$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 41c | 2,500$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Red Sox | 31c | 2,232$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.25 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 71c | 2,111$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.23 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 64c | 1,993$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 68c | 1,760$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.17 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 59c | 1,680$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Astros | 79c | 1,271$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Sox | 41c | 1,222$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.02 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.18 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…516bbacked Red Sox | 40c | 1,140$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Astros | 60c | 1,087$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.26 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Astros | 59c | 1,016$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.53 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…a7e0backed Astros | 60c | 1,003$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…018bbacked Astros | 60c | 997$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Red Sox | 40c | 952.92$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 42c | 952.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 41c | 902.56$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.49 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Red Sox | 42c | 897$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…4d41backed Red Sox | 40c | 860$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Red Sox | 41c | 853.65$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Astros | 59c | 681$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Red Sox | 40c | 647.8$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.12 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Astros | 67c | 630$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…eea6backed Red Sox | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Red Sox | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 24c | 545.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 70c | 504.14$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Red Sox | 42c | 502.38$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Astros | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 60c | 420$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 38c | 416.03$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 42c | 345.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 42c | 300.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…cfecbacked Red Sox | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Red Sox | 25c | 274$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Red Sox | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed Red Sox | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Red Sox | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 42c | 247$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Red Sox | 41c | 243.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Red Sox | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Red Sox | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 42c | 209.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Red Sox | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 40c | 185.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 25c | 184.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Red Sox | 40c | 176.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 64c | 171.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…04cabacked Astros | 63c | 170.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Astros | 59c | 166.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Red Sox | 27c | 157$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox | 40c | 156.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Sox | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.