NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86900c9fdcb083b252faf2c40e1b8892d74e87df5006345b574ef5c92a73fb11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikings of Texans , Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Vikings | 65c | 26,302$17,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,204.57 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Texans | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Texans | 31c | 17,072$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…825ebacked Texans | 45c | 8,644$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Texans | 26c | 8,632$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.59 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 11c | 5,573$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.68 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texans | 33c | 5,538$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.69 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…7926backed Vikings | 77c | 4,813$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Vikings | 66c | 3,759$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Vikings | 64c | 3,461$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Texans | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Vikings | 62c | 2,795$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Texans | 34c | 2,765$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Texans | 33c | 2,601$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Vikings | 59c | 2,250$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Texans | 26c | 2,038$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.33 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Vikings | 79c | 1,515$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texans | 19c | 1,487$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texans | 27c | 1,345$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Vikings | 60c | 1,281$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.58 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Texans | 31c | 1,280$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Texans | 44c | 1,244$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.3 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Texans | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Vikings | 75c | 957.21$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Texans | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Texans | 4c | 850.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Texans | 15c | 826.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Texans | 38c | 817.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Vikings | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vikings | 59c | 766.82$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Texans | 27c | 741.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…8922backed Texans | 32c | 703.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texans | 41c | 670$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Vikings | 54c | 544.43$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Vikings | 53c | 539$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Vikings | 66c | 490.2$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Texans | 26c | 428.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Vikings | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Vikings | 60c | 385$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Texans | 31c | 336.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Vikings | 70c | 333.03$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Texans | 30c | 318.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Texans | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Vikings | 66c | 295$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Texans | 19c | 263.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texans | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…7286backed Texans | 41c | 250$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Vikings | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Vikings | 71c | 247.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texans | 28c | 246.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texans | 41c | 244.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Vikings | 69c | 235$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Vikings | 78c | 229.24$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vikings | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Texans | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Texans | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Texans | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Texans | 33c | 199.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Vikings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…e06ebacked Texans | 28c | 191.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Vikings | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Vikings | 79c | 174.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vikings | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Vikings | 61c | 167.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Texans | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Vikings | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Vikings | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Vikings | 78c | 128.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Vikings | 56c | 128$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Vikings | 67c | 123.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Vikings | 75c | 119.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Texans | 35c | 115.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Texans | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Texans | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…a921backed Texans | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texans | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Texans | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Texans | 35c | 93.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Texans | 35c | 92.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Vikings | 63c | 78.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…a6ebbacked Texans | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Texans | 35c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Texans | 44c | 74.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Vikings | 68c | 73.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…3ba8backed Vikings | 62c | 69.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Texans | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Texans | 29c | 68.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Vikings | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eeb…4286backed Vikings | 60c | 64.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…a569backed Texans | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Texans | 33c | 59.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…09e8backed Vikings | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…19f2backed Vikings | 78c | 58.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…cb87backed Vikings | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Texans | 29c | 55.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…7ba5backed Vikings | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Vikings | 73c | 49.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…972cbacked Vikings | 77c | 47.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Vikings | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Texans | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.