Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f2f1fd1e95ef7bfb8b59c308b0277a0bd283e4ebb9b5ff0d5e597a36e24bb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,036$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.05 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 24c | 963.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.34 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 71c | 897.15$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.17 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 72c | 467.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 2c | 441.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…81e5backed No | 52c | 380.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 32c | 325.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…0c36backed No | 7c | 324.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 277.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 269.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadb…898ebacked Yes | 46c | 248.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 71c | 222.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…11cdbacked Yes | 24c | 212.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 207.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 22c | 198.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 45c | 196.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 78c | 183.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 177.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…12b4backed Yes | 48c | 169.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 19c | 168.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 16c | 166.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…ceb0backed Yes | 42c | 151.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 146.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 56c | 132.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 80c | 131.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…c876backed Yes | 24c | 124.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 124.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 31c | 115.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 24c | 115.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 50c | 102.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 52c | 100.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 96.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 39c | 93.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 91.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 49c | 84.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 23c | 83.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d0b1backed No | 51c | 81.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 21c | 80.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…aa32backed Yes | 38c | 79.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…5a19backed Yes | 57c | 78.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 79c | 77.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 79c | 77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 20c | 76.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 80c | 76.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…b8cebacked Yes | 19c | 72.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 45c | 70.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 73c | 68.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…171bbacked Yes | 59c | 65.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 22c | 64.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Yes | 75c | 63.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 26c | 60.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…7d58backed Yes | 51c | 59.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 24c | 57.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 22c | 55.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 53.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 48c | 50.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 64c | 50.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…0087backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 46c | 44.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 75c | 42.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 51c | 40.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 37.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…ecd4backed Yes | 50c | 37.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 53c | 36.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 49c | 33.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 65c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 58c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed No | 44c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 25.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 79c | 24.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…a95abacked No | 73c | 20.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…69c5backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…9bfbbacked Yes | 69c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 70c | 18.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 17.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 15.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.