WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe14379a1fa466c2e9e7a7b041a3464cafb4d40e9644b7911c95f178e991527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wingsof Mystics, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 59c | 35,602$21,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,150.18 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Wings | 34c | 27,387$9,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,066.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wings | 41c | 16,241$6,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,593.04 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 57c | 15,388$8,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,575.74 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mystics | 57c | 15,107$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669.77 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Mystics | 72c | 8,083$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.22 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wings | 31c | 7,430$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.79 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 47c | 5,369$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.62 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mystics | 65c | 3,468$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.58 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 59c | 2,676$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wings | 39c | 2,434$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.56 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 28c | 2,128$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.44 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wings | 37c | 1,903$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.47 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mystics | 62c | 1,603$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Mystics | 32c | 1,589$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wings | 39c | 1,489$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.69 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 54c | 1,376$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.75 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mystics | 57c | 1,310$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.1 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wings | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Wings | 43c | 840$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Wings | 62c | 761.13$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Mystics | 27c | 748.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Wings | 74c | 706.41$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mystics | 57c | 578.46$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mystics | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Wings | 36c | 496$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.63 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 52c | 468.9$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wings | 43c | 367.27$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Wings | 33c | 355.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.44 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…a683backed Mystics | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Wings | 31c | 324.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6d…fb82backed Wings | 40c | 313.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wings | 75c | 300$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Wings | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 42c | 231$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Wings | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wings | 38c | 175.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mystics | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Wings | 42c | 105.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Mystics | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Mystics | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Wings | 40c | 74.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Wings | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…dfbdbacked Wings | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Mystics | 63c | 54.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Wings | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Wings | 31c | 46.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Mystics | 79c | 44.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mystics | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Wings | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Wings | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.