TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$489,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe785…e106backed Twins47c383,818$179,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,232.034854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Tigers53c163,550$87,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,428.522852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers53c109,437$58,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,163.871,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Tigers54c29,926$16,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,851.9135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers53c24,000$12,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,28038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers54c11,360$6,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,225.645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tigers75c9,828$7,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.8279740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Tigers53c6,682$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.3626056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers54c6,500$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,99048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers54c5,273$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.92,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Twins45c5,011$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.921850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Twins25c4,515$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.9338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Tigers55c4,321$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.452347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins47c3,820$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.7933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers53c3,773$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.3126355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Tigers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4105743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers56c2,250$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.4888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers54c2,000$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Tigers56c1,792$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.1411051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers67c1,506$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.89,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tigers55c1,399$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.991,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Twins3c1,395$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Tigers54c1,391$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.746953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Twins44c1,300$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Twins2c1,007$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Twins46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4605644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Twins44c970$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Tigers55c796.86$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5924253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Twins42c586.04$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Twins46c542.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.771,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Tigers53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Twins16c453.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9432754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Twins39c438.65$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Twins25c395.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1173149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers54c370.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2938949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Tigers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.583248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Twins41c317.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.049947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Twins46c316.3$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Twins46c300.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.863,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins45c299.75$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.651,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Twins17c292.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0560052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f1…c78bbacked Tigers72c229.6$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins28c205.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e9…4ef4backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7752…490bbacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…b555backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb033…88e6backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e48…c9cabacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbbf…f78fbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905139.2%20 W · 31 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6caa…d782backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea21…9033backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc81…40c9backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c37…a9efbacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…a521backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8187…fbe2backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fe…78dabacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905366%35 W · 18 L+9.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9194…cc43backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905362.3%33 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97cd…1d85backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e5…0bccbacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa393…f478backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905149%25 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4f…0170backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf45…413abacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebb…670dbacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65a…3aa3backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1138…be8fbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e3…fbbebacked Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x223e…602bbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa079…ed58backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb79f…8197backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba6…8340backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f5…0071backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f1…a93dbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905042%21 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc3…1270backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905461.1%33 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea60…f4f6backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.3wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf397…3adfbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x436b…c7ccbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd3…eecfbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905261.5%32 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3807…83c9backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ac…d670backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea5…a429backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07c9…2a08backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905149%25 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce7…d59bbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb8…6feebacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905151%26 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc2…9a9cbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e12…c5d1backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38bb…a341backed Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905050%25 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcafe…ab1fbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a06…bf0bbacked Tigers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905050%25 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22b…6880backed Twins45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.