WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e2fe3a71e35465cb79c20bcc2c92ebb25fe50cb5cfe6342bd72dd9cc1a2d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Dream, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dream | 39c | 1,438$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.82 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 55c | 1,384$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.03 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Liberty | 32c | 1,186$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.48 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dream | 36c | 804.71$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…dfbdbacked Dream | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Liberty | 77c | 800$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 38c | 783.36$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Liberty | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Liberty | 31c | 632.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.26 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Liberty | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Liberty | 66c | 441.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Dream | 37c | 359.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Liberty | 62c | 196$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Dream | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Liberty | 64c | 154.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Dream | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Liberty | 62c | 145$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Dream | 34c | 105.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Liberty | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dream | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Liberty | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Liberty | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dream | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Liberty | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Liberty | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Liberty | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Liberty | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Dream | 76c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.