MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbffece1fe2e4018c05e9afce8f45cf060e3bce150f2817d54b53fc03e2731a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 46c | 248,694$113,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,244.47 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Dodgers | 54c | 115,555$62,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,155.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers | 55c | 52,111$28,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,449.94 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mariners | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 55c | 15,555$8,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.75 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Dodgers | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Dodgers | 53c | 12,659$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,991.81 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 47c | 8,077$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.06 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 54c | 7,500$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 51c | 7,248$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.26 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 52c | 7,148$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 5,600$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Mariners | 10c | 5,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners | 47c | 5,020$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.42 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 3,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.87 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 48c | 3,303$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…8a5abacked Mariners | 45c | 2,590$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 37c | 2,384$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 49c | 2,092$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.94 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers | 74c | 2,091$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mariners | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.9 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Mariners | 49c | 1,616$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,445$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.68 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 47c | 1,187$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.17 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Mariners | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 8c | 1,079$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Dodgers | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.76 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mariners | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Mariners | 3c | 999.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Mariners | 47c | 925$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 843$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 45c | 670.73$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Mariners | 47c | 665.29$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.96 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers | 9c | 614$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.51 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Dodgers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Dodgers | 51c | 511.76$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 52c | 435.21$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…9081backed Mariners | 52c | 432.03$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Mariners | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Dodgers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 5c | 399.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Dodgers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 50c | 360.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 17c | 311$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Mariners | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 45c | 203.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…7d63backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…c1f2backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d1…993ebacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…986fbacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…711cbacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…d8e6backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…24f8backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…59d5backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…3af5backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…56b5backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…d52abacked Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…fadebacked Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…0bf6backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…9026backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…7ac7backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…c891backed Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.