TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Suns, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f65…d7aebacked Suns36c5,900$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.1325536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Suns32c4,060$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.23234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Kings66c3,293$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.392536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Kings67c2,478$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.6418146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Kings64c1,948$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.4833746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Suns34c1,600$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Kings65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6acd…d838backed Kings66c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fe…4f12backed Suns34c1,210$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…08bdbacked Kings66c1,210$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Kings68c1,169$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0916919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Kings66c1,100$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbcf…c26fbacked Kings68c1,055$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.63060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e62…ec52backed Suns34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Kings66c747.33$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.092352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Kings66c712$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0819149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Kings65c665.38$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5463555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Suns33c554.56$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9160834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Kings65c524.7$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6411755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Kings66c504.62$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.576051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Kings70c467.9$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c61…f292backed Suns34c450$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Kings66c450$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da7…a3f8backed Kings66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Kings66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7916852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bb…fcb2backed Suns34c350$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Suns34c338.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings65c335.71$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.520248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Suns29c295.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.515541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Suns35c294.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032763%17 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe980…00a0backed Kings67c280$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…079abacked Kings67c263$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Kings66c241.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.211471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70de…b98ebacked Suns7c220.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d6…1733backed Suns47c214.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d19…ee14backed Kings67c204$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Kings66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Kings66c199.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.997258.3%42 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Suns34c199.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.548938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x194a…0f20backed Kings67c194$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e17…eac0backed Suns34c187$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc6…a0d4backed Kings67c185$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd615…0873backed Kings67c169$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a5…877dbacked Kings66c168.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.234746.1%160 W · 187 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc233…93a5backed Suns39c167.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1f…5e0ebacked Suns34c163$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…ec2dbacked Kings67c157$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec5…a0ffbacked Suns34c156$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kings61c155.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Suns36c154.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.891136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…9841backed Suns37c147.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Suns34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…0df0backed Suns34c145$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e5…3c74backed Suns34c136$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Suns34c128.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.71,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c83…dfabbacked Suns34c128$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4899…5755backed Suns34c123$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b6…aa06backed Suns34c122$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92db…1089backed Suns34c117$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Kings67c116.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1268…b6edbacked Suns34c116$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Suns39c110.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc458…b0e9backed Kings67c105.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb3…f90bbacked Kings66c101.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc1…1638backed Kings67c101$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Suns35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0def…0674backed Suns11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Kings58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4272647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Suns34c99.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9969337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e6…e2bdbacked Suns36c93.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…e1c5backed Suns34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0b…74efbacked Suns35c85.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Kings64c79.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa249…12fabacked Kings69c79.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.712857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Suns34c77.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kings66c74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2759743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5479…ef16backed Suns34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…e776backed Suns42c70.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Kings68c70.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.583522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+74.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…7dc8backed Suns34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Kings70c68.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.632770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6509…b713backed Kings66c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d4…e370backed Kings66c65.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.384454.5%24 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b0…beb0backed Suns36c63.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…1a34backed Suns34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74f…9051backed Kings69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Suns36c55.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018236.8%67 W · 115 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc269…927dbacked Suns35c54.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Suns35c52.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1890560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd8…78b6backed Kings66c50.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Kings66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Kings65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.58026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…b5a2backed Kings65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Suns35c49.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4922939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Kings68c48.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4628548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…bd1ebacked Kings68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Suns34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.631631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Kings66c39.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.392972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.