MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c82557d34d56aa777fc1a8e2284b40c0b955c7bdfbb9c2ef03eb77e52b091aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,256,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,241,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,256,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 37c | 849,531$314,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314,292.45 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Braves | 63c | 206,674$130,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,492.65 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Braves | 63c | 168,370$106,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,760.76 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 63c | 85,126$53,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,496.62 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Braves | 64c | 78,315$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,315.38 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 63c | 75,000$47,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,750 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 63c | 73,756$46,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,621.6 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Braves | 63c | 31,769$20,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,754.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nationals | 38c | 30,880$11,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,734.4 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Nationals | 37c | 24,226$8,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.68 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Nationals | 36c | 23,396$8,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,422.39 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Braves | 63c | 23,069$14,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.53 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Braves | 63c | 22,651$14,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,416.93 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 63c | 17,423$10,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,477.93 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 63c | 16,467$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.61 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Braves | 63c | 13,647$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.26 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Braves | 62c | 13,549$8,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.75 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Braves | 55c | 12,901$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 40c | 9,116$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.96 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Nationals | 38c | 8,262$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.33 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Braves | 46c | 7,968$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.67 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Nationals | 44c | 7,384$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.24 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Braves | 62c | 7,361$4,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.32 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 47c | 7,050$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 39c | 6,633$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Braves | 64c | 6,025$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.84 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Braves | 63c | 5,555$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.35 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 63c | 4,578$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.86 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Braves | 59c | 4,242$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Braves | 64c | 3,128$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Braves | 64c | 3,030$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Braves | 63c | 2,581$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Braves | 63c | 2,533$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.18 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 62c | 2,438$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.57 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 45c | 2,105$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Nationals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 61c | 1,971$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.84 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Nationals | 38c | 1,609$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Braves | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…be5abacked Braves | 74c | 1,355$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 37c | 1,345$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.56 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,196$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Braves | 62c | 1,172$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.35 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 39c | 1,131$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.03 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Nationals | 37c | 1,088$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.73 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 63c | 1,080$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 63c | 1,057$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 58c | 1,037$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.26 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Braves | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 38c | 999.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 45c | 985.24$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.35 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Braves | 77c | 982.28$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 43c | 942.21$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.98 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Nationals | 39c | 853.35$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Braves | 62c | 796.77$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.77 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Braves | 63c | 793.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…9647backed Nationals | 38c | 792.89$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Nationals | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 39c | 699.97$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Nationals | 38c | 689.66$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Braves | 63c | 663.41$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.41 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 61c | 654.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Braves | 50c | 637.88$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Braves | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Braves | 63c | 630$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Braves | 63c | 561.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Nationals | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 41c | 486.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 14c | 416.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Nationals | 38c | 414.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Braves | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Braves | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 45c | 395.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Nationals | 38c | 381.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Nationals | 38c | 375.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 43c | 359.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 62c | 357.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Nationals | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Braves | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Nationals | 38c | 292.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves | 61c | 270.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Braves | 59c | 270.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 62c | 259.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Braves | 60c | 258.73$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Braves | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Braves | 57c | 254.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Braves | 62c | 253.22$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Nationals | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Braves | 60c | 249.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Nationals | 36c | 245$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked Nationals | 38c | 235$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Nationals | 37c | 225.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Braves | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Nationalsthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.