NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x374fa03d22337d073d925dd287509ebe6535c38bec76016548c9d6c52db5fb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 22,179$10,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,486.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 52c | 21,002$10,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032.16 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 20,406$9,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,547.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 54c | 15,239$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,084 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 53c | 10,005$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.4 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 54c | 7,535$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Over | 44c | 3,362$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Over | 45c | 2,242$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.7 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 1,195$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.6 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 1,018$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Under | 53c | 416$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 48c | 269$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…b825backed Over | 50c | 36.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- 76ers vs. PistonsPistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.