NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07940edc375a7d0a57c303671ceba3fcd1894d360b0c5593332ca095a3d040fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 44c | 6,586$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers | 57c | 5,852$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.53 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 47c | 5,378$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 53c | 5,029$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.21 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pistons | 45c | 4,000$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed 76ers | 54c | 3,916$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.41 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed 76ers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed 76ers | 55c | 2,857$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.78 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons | 47c | 1,193$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.22 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pistons | 43c | 1,150$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.38 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Pistons | 46c | 1,060$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.4 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Pistons | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 43c | 593$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 44c | 577.01$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.53 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 48c | 471.02$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 46c | 342.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Pistons | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Pistons | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed 76ers | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 46c | 157$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Pistons | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 32c | 121.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pistons | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed 76ers | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Pistons | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Pistons | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Pistons | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Pistons | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 31c | 52.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc76…d76dbacked Pistons | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Pistons | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Pistons | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…92bbbacked 76ers | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c10abacked Pistons | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed 76ers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed 76ers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…36ddbacked 76ers | 57c | 25.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…7a7dbacked 76ers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- 76ers vs. PistonsPistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.