NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad42d8bc320446b1118e925cf64280dda36110f9b21c24ca17fd5ebedc493d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof 76ers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 58c | 7,584$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Pistons | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed 76ers | 45c | 2,254$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.6 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,651$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.28 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 48c | 997.75$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed 76ers | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pistons | 56c | 603$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Pistons | 35c | 271.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5072…c02abacked 76ers | 37c | 148$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…2b92backed 76ers | 37c | 145$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…2fd1backed Pistons | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…4d81backed Pistons | 63c | 135$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Pistons | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- 76ers vs. PistonsPistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.