NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63db46dbd42d49e96d666ae134a0558f70cb6509fb2aea34e1705aec5e64bd3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x389d…6365backed Over | 5c | 15,777$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 9,710$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Under | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.66 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 56c | 6,769$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.32 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719f…db30backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…429abacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 43c | 787.34$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.81 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 43c | 779$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 699.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 367.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 354$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 39c | 218.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc76…d76dbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Over | 44c | 45.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Under | 56c | 33.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 54c | 30.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…67e3backed Over | 48c | 20.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- 76ers vs. PistonsPistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.