UFC · resolved market
UFC 322: Meerschaert vs. Daukaus (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fa66fd99d4ec2d55d3ec08e8a25e84f8452a47c4179ada61b2121ca5710713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daukausof Meerschaert, Daukaus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Meerschaert | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 8,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Meerschaert | 20c | 7,135$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.03 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Meerschaert | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Meerschaert | 18c | 4,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Meerschaert | 19c | 4,300$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Daukaus | 80c | 2,809$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.13 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Meerschaert | 21c | 2,361$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 2,200$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Meerschaert | 17c | 2,100$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Meerschaert | 21c | 2,050$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 2,029$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.43 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 1,867$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.74 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Meerschaert | 19c | 1,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Daukaus | 80c | 1,686$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.04 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 1,488$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Meerschaert | 19c | 1,396$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Meerschaert | 18c | 1,385$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Daukaus | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Meerschaert | 20c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Daukaus | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Meerschaert | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Daukaus | 74c | 995.63$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Meerschaert | 19c | 971.01$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Meerschaert | 21c | 818.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Daukaus | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Daukaus | 79c | 677.01$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Daukaus | 78c | 640.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Meerschaert | 19c | 598.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Meerschaert | 19c | 551.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Meerschaert | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Meerschaert | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Daukaus | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…5a44backed Meerschaert | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Meerschaert | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Meerschaert | 25c | 495$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Daukaus | 78c | 464.1$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Daukaus | 78c | 450.47$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Daukaus | 79c | 443.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Daukaus | 80c | 400$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…934cbacked Meerschaert | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Meerschaert | 20c | 330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Meerschaert | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Meerschaert | 20c | 275.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Daukaus | 80c | 264.75$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Meerschaert | 19c | 262.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…482ebacked Meerschaert | 20c | 251.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Meerschaert | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Daukaus | 80c | 230$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Meerschaert | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Daukaus | 80c | 212.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Daukaus | 78c | 210$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Daukaus | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Meerschaert | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Meerschaert | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Meerschaert | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Meerschaert | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Meerschaert | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Meerschaert | 18c | 195$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Meerschaert | 18c | 150.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Meerschaert | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Meerschaert | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Meerschaert | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Meerschaert | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Meerschaert | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Meerschaert | 19c | 107.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…dcf4backed Meerschaert | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Meerschaert | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Meerschaert | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Daukaus | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…09e4backed Meerschaert | 19c | 91.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Meerschaert | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0582…90a7backed Meerschaert | 19c | 75.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Daukaus | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89b…9041backed Meerschaert | 32c | 63.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Meerschaert | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Daukaus | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Meerschaert | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Meerschaert | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Meerschaert | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Meerschaert | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Daukaus | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Daukaus | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Daukaus | 75c | 33.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Daukaus | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Daukaus | 79c | 26.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Daukaus | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Daukaus | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Daukaus | 79c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Daukaus | 80c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e22…19cebacked Daukaus | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…fe29backed Daukaus | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…d8efbacked Daukaus | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…d071backed Daukaus | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d508backed Daukaus | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 322: Meerschaert vs. Daukaus (Middleweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Kyle Daukaus win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.