NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64a173977829da15379f8d0ddb48c0283b1eb7bffc436647a074c6991eb2e25e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pistons, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Pacers | 50c | 397,936$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,935.71 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Pistons | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 50c | 77,667$39,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,211.23 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 48c | 45,852$21,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,960.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 50c | 40,399$20,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,199.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 50c | 36,408$18,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,026.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Pacers | 49c | 25,500$12,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,005 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pistons | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 50c | 18,834$9,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,378.82 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 49c | 14,837$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,636.83 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 48c | 4,810$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 49c | 4,362$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.51 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed Pistons | 51c | 3,725$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…6bdcbacked Pistons | 54c | 3,399$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,609$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.68 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Pistons | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…e215backed Pistons | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,267$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 47c | 2,226$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pistons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Pistons | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…13d0backed Pistons | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Pacers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Pacers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1246backed Pacers | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 50c | 1,898$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pistons | 51c | 1,325$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.23 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,321$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.81 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.05 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 51c | 1,168$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.48 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Pistons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Pistons | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Pistons | 52c | 955.19$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Pistons | 52c | 905.56$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.89 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…72c5backed Pistons | 52c | 740.38$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Pistons | 51c | 613.73$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Pistons | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Pistons | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Pistons | 52c | 455$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Pistons | 55c | 455$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Pacers | 49c | 437$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Pistons | 50c | 385.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Pistons | 47c | 375$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Pistons | 52c | 326.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Pistons | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Pistons | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…4a1fbacked Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Pistons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Pistons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Pistons | 56c | 179.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pacers | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Pistons | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Pistons | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Pistons | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 48c | 122$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pistons | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Pacers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Pistons | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Pistons | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Pistons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 52c | 93.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Pistons | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Pacers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pistons | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Pacers | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Pistons | 53c | 69.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Pacers | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Pistons | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Pistons | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Pacers | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…ff78backed Pistons | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Pistons | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Pistons | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Pistons | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Pistons | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Pistons | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…6ae0backed Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Pistons | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Pistons | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Pistons | 50c | 34.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. PacersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.