NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c4c3e7515dc49536ce72809c78d7e23267c61c9cd12302891404f10adc5e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 25,617$12,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,196.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 53c | 17,412$9,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,186.64 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 8,396$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.65 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 54c | 5,851$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 47c | 5,324$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.8 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 3,116$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.06 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 2,015$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.75 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,827$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.76 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 1,722$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.45 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 50c | 1,132$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.44 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8445…832ebacked Over | 52c | 1,052$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…d9c8backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Over | 51c | 599.98$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 568.4$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 381$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 323$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Under | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 286$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 49c | 269.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 178.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 34c | 126$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8a…0e34backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 103.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 54c | 95.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 57.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…3a8cbacked Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Under | 49c | 28.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 63c | 26.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 54c | 23.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Under | 44c | 22.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. PacersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.