TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Over52c24,818$12,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,880.331,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c17,201$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,141.459,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under48c4,700$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under49c4,268$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over52c3,144$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.5960549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c3,015$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under47c2,390$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.642,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Over51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…5626backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0291216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0394…20e9backed Over53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9872634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Under47c2,100$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9871735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf32…e0e7backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…74c2backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c1,668$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.143,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c1,426$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67062541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Over57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5115244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over52c1,119$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.0666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.9120542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x751d…ff5cbacked Over51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…30e8backed Under49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38426755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under28c773.78$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.743,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x165d…a76dbacked Under49c650$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c546$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.082,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c530.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4734451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over52c519.23$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2327443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2412950.4%65 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c501.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee1…a27cbacked Under51c480$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…7046backed Over50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over72c473$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4427745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over55c471.8$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3125248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Over79c463.09$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8318554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Under42c436.21$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.217433.8%25 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under17c397.68$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Over63c296$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2822243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1f…0027backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c241.08$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Over53c230$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.119254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa499…7873backed Over52c219$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.124955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Over50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029448.9%46 W · 48 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x980e…bc50backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.81,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa395…a298backed Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bac…cf90backed Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8244…11f4backed Over56c178.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c166$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.341,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under48c164$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7280148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6318047.2%85 W · 95 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf460…e5aabacked Over55c137.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.751361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c121$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.833950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under46c111.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.82,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under48c111$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2865855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c101$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2733147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Over65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.731250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8611853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe302…ad65backed Under51c92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2399backed Under51c88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c83.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.482,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7162349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.718142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7147948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7171747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeba5…6ff7backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.122,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9719150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under47c67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4823348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over54c64.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5221838.1%83 W · 135 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6919451.5%100 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under48c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.815854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under48c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.815051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa3…a86fbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8814648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.884748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.888755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.884447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.886552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9631852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.886346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0426648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.884647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0425150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.