NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21444e181521a402f4a49b00381edca610d933d1b8439615852ccccdf661b297

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Hornets
Resolved: Nov 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $131,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $139,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,316 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets	50c	42,326$21,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,162.85	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,400	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks	49c	29,662$14,534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,127.4	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks	50c	19,948$9,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,974.02	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Hornets	50c	16,000$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Knicks	50c	14,372$7,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,186	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Hornets	49c	8,100$3,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,969	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x845b…9041backed Knicks	51c	8,100$4,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,969	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks	50c	7,565$3,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,782.5	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Knicks	50c	7,241$3,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,620.29	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	49c	6,784$3,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,460.44	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets	50c	5,011$2,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,521.51	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks	49c	3,958$1,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.62	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Knicks	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets	47c	1,134$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.1	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Knicks	50c	1,002$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01a1…88f3backed Knicks	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Knicks	52c	700$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	337	43.6%147 W · 190 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Knicks	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks	50c	599.99$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Knicks	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	230	58.7%135 W · 95 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Knicks	49c	561.44$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.63	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Hornets	50c	499$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.5	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Knicks	51c	403.92$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.92	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Knicks	50c	399$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.5	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets	48c	330.85$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.81	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Knicks	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2408…83e5backed Knicks	50c	283$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d5…70afbacked Hornets	51c	253$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4684…82f3backed Hornets	51c	244$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.44	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a95…9236backed Hornets	51c	233$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf188…d4e8backed Knicks	50c	226$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x19fb…8a80backed Knicks	50c	214$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+53.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Knicks	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Knicks	50c	199.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.68	403	46.2%186 W · 217 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Knicks	50c	199.28$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.64	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8f…800fbacked Knicks	50c	190$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets	48c	189.42$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.87	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4734…4ed5backed Knicks	52c	188.51$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.51	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3e…30e2backed Hornets	51c	183$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Knicks	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks	50c	110.8$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.4	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Knicks	51c	104.63$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.22	244	46.7%114 W · 130 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Knicks	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Knicks	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09e3…cf81backed Knicks	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	189	55%104 W · 85 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Knicks	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Hornets	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Knicks	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7578…e5dabacked Hornets	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Knicks	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Knicks	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c2…1c20backed Knicks	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Hornets	49c	87.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.11	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…1730backed Knicks	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Knicks	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	253	51%129 W · 124 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks	52c	74$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.52	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Knicks	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Knicks	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	204	44.6%91 W · 113 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Knicks	49c	56.86$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks	49c	54$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.54	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Knicks	52c	53.85$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	905	60.8%550 W · 355 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3576…b50cbacked Knicks	50c	53.04$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.52	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Knicks	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	133	38.3%51 W · 82 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…367fbacked Hornets	49c	49.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Knicks	51c	49.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.11	149	53%79 W · 70 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Knicks	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc184…1b61backed Hornets	52c	47.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b0…2691backed Knicks	50c	45.46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.73	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2543…aa0bbacked Hornets	51c	43.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.43	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c52…fd98backed Hornets	50c	42.24$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Hornets	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Knicks	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	849	57.6%489 W · 360 L	-52.1wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a5…5e47backed Knicks	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks	50c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Knicks	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8163backed Knicks	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Knicks	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	112	58.9%66 W · 46 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e4…e94bbacked Hornets	49c	27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4e…7e00backed Knicks	52c	21.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Knicks	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Knicks	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Knicks	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)this page
Knicks vs. HornetsKnicks won
Knicks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
Knicks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Under won
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 240.5Under won
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Under won
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event