NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b088c0964e4d8dbef143846b9b1b773ebb1f1e3e3b7c433d6acc9b34b080d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Pacers | 52c | 38,169$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 48c | 26,616$12,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,774.81 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 51c | 16,287$8,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,986.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Pacers | 52c | 15,864$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.54 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pacers | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.6 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 42c | 7,406$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 47c | 5,773$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.59 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 47c | 5,040$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 51c | 4,366$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons | 48c | 4,350$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pacers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Pacers | 40c | 3,800$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 44c | 3,667$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.31 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Pacers | 43c | 3,303$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Pacers | 44c | 3,179$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.63 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Pistons | 57c | 2,516$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Pacers | 40c | 2,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Pacers | 51c | 2,150$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Pistons | 49c | 1,733$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.82 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Pistons | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.17 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Pacers | 50c | 1,291$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pacers | 40c | 1,230$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Pistons | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pacers | 42c | 1,142$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.63 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pistons | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 42c | 895.92$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.29 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Pacers | 42c | 859.52$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…975abacked Pistons | 58c | 834.86$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb6…5b7cbacked Pacers | 42c | 814.98$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Pistons | 57c | 786.72$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 46c | 758$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…898cbacked Pistons | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9609backed Pacers | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 48c | 614.92$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.31 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Pistons | 57c | 545$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.66 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Pistons | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Pistons | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Pacers | 45c | 484$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Pistons | 47c | 394.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…ffafbacked Pistons | 60c | 392.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pacers | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Pistons | 49c | 260.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Pacers | 41c | 259$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Pistons | 60c | 259$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Pistons | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed Pistons | 60c | 233.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers | 47c | 179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Pistons | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pistons | 55c | 141.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Pistons | 62c | 135.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Pistons | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Pacers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Pistons | 58c | 121$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Pistons | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Pacers | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Pacers | 50c | 119.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Pistons | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Pistons | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Pistons | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Pacers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pacers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Pistons | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Pacers | 41c | 93.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Pistons | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…ee77backed Pistons | 56c | 88.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Pistons | 58c | 86.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…5916backed Pistons | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons | 60c | 82.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Pistons | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…b4c8backed Pistons | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pacers | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Pacers | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Pistons | 59c | 76.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pistons | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Pistons | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Pistons | 58c | 72.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Pistons | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Pacers | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Pistons | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed Pistons | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Pistons | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Pacers | 44c | 60.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Pistons | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Pistons | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Pistons | 59c | 51.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Pistons | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Pacers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.