NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17f6e6ad41bbb65a034bf32df22d1c6d391087441618f0ec0ad5f1b3e9b0b454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Pacers | 54c | 11,170$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 45c | 8,980$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.18 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 48c | 7,638$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pistons | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.02 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Pacers | 57c | 4,432$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pistons | 54c | 4,086$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.59 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pacers | 54c | 3,001$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.83 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 43c | 2,917$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.45 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Pacers | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pacers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pacers | 47c | 2,120$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.24 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pistons | 51c | 2,027$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.39 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Pacers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Pistons | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pacers | 48c | 1,921$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.15 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4302…4f64backed Pacers | 46c | 1,703$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pistons | 44c | 1,694$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.69 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 44c | 1,569$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons | 56c | 1,479$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 49c | 1,461$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.04 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Pistons | 53c | 1,319$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.61 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.1 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Pistons | 58c | 1,213$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.88 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers | 44c | 799$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.56 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 47c | 650$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 44c | 555.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Pistons | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Pacers | 50c | 504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Pacers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Pistons | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…18c5backed Pacers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 48c | 446.44$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…b34bbacked Pistons | 58c | 377.59$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pistons | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons | 55c | 300.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pistons | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…4ffbbacked Pacers | 46c | 299.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 42c | 275.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 46c | 252.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 42c | 243.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pistons | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Pistons | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 46c | 227.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pacers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Pistons | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Pistons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Pistons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 45c | 176.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…34ccbacked Pistons | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pacers | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Pacers | 45c | 134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 45c | 119.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Pacers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Pistons | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Pistons | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…2312backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Pistons | 56c | 93.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pacers | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Pistons | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pacers | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Pistons | 51c | 55.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…4da0backed Pistons | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Pistons | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Pistons | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Pacers | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…aa96backed Pistons | 50c | 38.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Pistons | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Pistons | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Pistons | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Pistons | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Pistons | 56c | 20.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Pacers | 51c | 19.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Pacers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.