Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4b0c8da521e8bd33fead98cd8900308016ce7712382437ab31e263f6856858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 3,982$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 3,121$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.19 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 31c | 986$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 35c | 965.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 742.54$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.01 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 713.52$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.36 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 29c | 679.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.03 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed Yes | 29c | 583.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 7c | 480$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 439.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.38 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 33c | 336.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 203.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 169.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 22c | 155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes | 27c | 138.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 137$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…242dbacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 32c | 62.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 61.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…a7ccbacked Yes | 54c | 51.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…d24fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…4201backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.