Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53bb92c4c91b19a08620a3a60335c7c233a2263d032685b75f3b1e2dd9c96a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 33,743$17,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,173.98 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 49c | 30,256$14,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,450.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 5,282$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 4,224$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.32 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.07 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 3,183$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.3 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 45c | 3,100$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 51c | 1,779$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.37 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 78c | 1,768$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 48c | 1,738$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.6 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,636$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.66 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 46c | 1,407$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.76 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.97 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 51c | 1,250$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Yes | 47c | 1,014$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 46c | 900$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 46c | 659.61$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.19 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 53c | 560.09$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 426.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 47c | 425.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked No | 51c | 420.29$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 49c | 416.46$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 54c | 357.07$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 41c | 319.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 48c | 312.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 295.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 79c | 271.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 228$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…0c7dbacked No | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 49c | 203.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 45c | 199.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 196.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 77c | 136.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 51c | 131.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 39c | 131.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…7b7bbacked Yes | 49c | 122.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…cc36backed Yes | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…30e6backed Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…94f8backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…adcdbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5b…0749backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…109cbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13d…2032backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 37c | 86.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 46c | 65.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 65c | 57.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…6effbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 49.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…502abacked Yes | 49c | 43.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5962…2446backed Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…d8fabacked Yes | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…e6b7backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 55c | 40.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad20…012fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.