Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP beat FC Porto?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a8b8358f0149f73e68c885174008455549ea1e417877f63ccd64a7a45276b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,219$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.61 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 46c | 2,055$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 38c | 934.06$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 35c | 849.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 738.22$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.36 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 635.84$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 65c | 610.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 37c | 492.84$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 37c | 386.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 355$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Yes | 61c | 235.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 66c | 228$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 63c | 212$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc5…d502backed Yes | 39c | 114.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 37c | 99.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 33c | 30.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…49b7backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…16adbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 78c | 19.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…9455backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…fc08backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…ae7fbacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP beat FC Porto?this page
- Will FC Porto beat Sporting CP?No won
- Will the match between FC Porto and Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.