Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c795f2fec3b4a93dcfb86a87615247e6f772f6084146b08d7ff2159df1b7cf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,988$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 1,806$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,605$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…98bbbacked No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 7cpaid | +285%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 1,423$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.6 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 7c | 1,413$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 68c | 1,343$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.82 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 1,309$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.05 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…2087backed No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed No | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed No | 10c | 1,154$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 800.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 16c | 625.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed No | 12c | 600$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 80c | 538$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 475.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…ab9abacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…c269backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 79c | 100.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 41.1%106 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 99.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…202ebacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…4679backed Yes | 20c | 75.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 73.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 16c | 66.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…c3ffbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…43ddbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9d…c720backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.