Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de9e07e8aebf0525fc7c1d3a94ebf069bc8742debfe346280ca177de16345c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 5c | 17,230$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.51 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 6c | 11,244$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 6c | 8,959$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 6c | 4,595$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.67 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Under | 7c | 3,338$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 7c | 3,150$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Under | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 7c | 2,760$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e028backed Under | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 6c | 1,850$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…3363backed Under | 7c | 1,443$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4051backed Under | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Under | 6c | 1,077$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee6…9bb0backed Under | 7c | 920.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 6c | 804.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…9bb7backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 5c | 499.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 6c | 466.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Under | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 4c | 395$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 6c | 360.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Under | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed Under | 7c | 256$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 6c | 230.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 6c | 211.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…6298backed Under | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 6c | 176.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5this page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.