Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6360893f6fb065b39345be28b7c0657878d975e2d75afaa7aa525c5925f924d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Over | 51c | 730.13$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.11 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 644.01$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 28c | 529.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…710cbacked Under | 27c | 509.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 325.43$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…c21fbacked Under | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 249.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 244.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 48c | 222.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Under | 54c | 218.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 213.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 52c | 202.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 188.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 185.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 41c | 120.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 118.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 108.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…9ac2backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 82.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 27c | 61.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…b1d1backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 62c | 46.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…2615backed Over | 74c | 44.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 41.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…5952backed Over | 47c | 33.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…45c7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7eb6backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 73c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 54c | 23.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 22.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.