Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ac60554de07b26447393b73db66423a6fe8b4ac60a4a95893ce9fab7d4bc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 12,410$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 11c | 7,777$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.42 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Over | 11c | 6,500$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 7c | 5,309$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.01 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 5,048$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 7c | 4,150$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 6c | 3,036$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.18 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 7c | 2,871$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 2,299$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Over | 12c | 1,565$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…57acbacked Over | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 7c | 1,313$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 6c | 1,280$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 7c | 938.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Over | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 728.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 2c | 641.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 5c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Over | 10c | 431.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…f5f0backed Over | 6c | 420$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 8c | 398.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over | 3c | 361.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Over | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…10c0backed Over | 8c | 264.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 6c | 235.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…9c59backed Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 8c | 204.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 6c | 157.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5this page
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 6.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 7.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 0.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.