Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2efc1421998ad52b26ef658bad9d331ff2fe6abc6ae3c5fe62a514a67d91dc66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 66c | 659.69$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 77c | 650.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 13c | 599.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 15c | 514.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 466.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 18c | 430.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 341$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…fe97backed No | 4c | 259.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 29c | 229$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 28c | 157$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 155.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…8084backed No | 7c | 154.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 31c | 152$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…8088backed Yes | 73c | 149.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 146.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 28c | 132.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 41c | 123.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 20c | 122.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 37c | 120.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 69c | 118.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 113.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 10c | 109$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…feffbacked No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 29c | 103.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 25c | 101.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc527…773dbacked Yes | 47c | 101.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 23c | 101.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…63bebacked No | 34c | 97.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 11c | 94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 26c | 93.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 91.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 27c | 88.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 26c | 84.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 16c | 77.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 15c | 76.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 69c | 72.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…b04cbacked Yes | 44c | 65.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…06d2backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 73c | 53.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 28c | 48.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 24c | 46.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 28c | 46.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed0…25afbacked Yes | 43c | 46.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 28c | 45.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 61c | 44.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…4a3fbacked Yes | 77c | 40.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 27c | 39.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 28c | 37.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 72c | 33.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 197 | 64.5%127 W · 70 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 35c | 31.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…d88dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…7f0fbacked Yes | 73c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 67c | 28.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked Yes | 44c | 26.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…d080backed Yes | 39c | 25.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 25.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 24.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 74c | 22.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed Yes | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…8f33backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 121 | 74.4%90 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…589cbacked Yes | 64c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 78c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Yes | 78c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.