Us Politics · resolved market
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8aece0c7f22b3afea42a455dd47e83c0963ea580a02393c92f5ac189fa7d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 3c | 12,244$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…1534backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,731$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 8,047$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 7,467$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…f984backed Yes | 2c | 7,315$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 2c | 5,808$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…c2a0backed Yes | 1c | 5,275$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…bc7bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,234$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +109%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 4,578$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…5131backed Yes | 7c | 4,345$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…5d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…cf9ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,950$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,268$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 3c | 2,784$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…20cabacked Yes | 5c | 2,584$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,566$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…ff45backed Yes | 2c | 2,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 2c | 2,438$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,328$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5de7backed Yes | 4c | 2,119$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed Yes | 2c | 2,118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…8f68backed Yes | 3c | 1,960$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad49…4b25backed Yes | 1c | 1,810$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…cb1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,747$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…3e62backed Yes | 4c | 1,586$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…76fcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…647bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,449$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…0e22backed Yes | 2c | 1,277$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a763backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…47aabacked Yes | 4c | 1,240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…f9debacked Yes | 9c | 1,140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dda…2839backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…8b7bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,008$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…4f7cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…9842backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yes | 2c | 968.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…da16backed Yes | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248e…7b12backed Yes | 7c | 911.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f200backed Yes | 6c | 802.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1687…906cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…2d35backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 712.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 5c | 707.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…adccbacked Yes | 3c | 681.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…9370backed Yes | 7c | 630.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…d9adbacked Yes | 2c | 617.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 617$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…ed01backed Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…61fbbacked Yes | 4c | 547.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…45fdbacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 6c | 514.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7497backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…1870backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…4168backed Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125d…63b1backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ad2abacked Yes | 2c | 499.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…c5b3backed Yes | 2c | 410.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…e5febacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed Yes | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…abc3backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…5015backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…7207backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe787…4790backed Yes | 11c | 327.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…1979backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…4ab7backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7c70backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…1fe7backed Yes | 10c | 287.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…c971backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…8032backed Yes | 8c | 283.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…b98fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…16fabacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…da37backed Yes | 10c | 209.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…89d6backed Yes | 5c | 200.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…6bf2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…c745backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…e700backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…d7f9backed Yes | 10c | 145.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…9800backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…9ee7backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…44b1backed Yes | 14c | 106.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.