Middle East · resolved market
Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1b2dc1c9e4698e6f403faa4feaa29a7575a080457584c6503f128af8c0283e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 16c | 8,187$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.43 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…4b00backed Yes | 22c | 4,453$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,688$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.26 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,672$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.74 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,638$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 23c | 2,989$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,256$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed No | 78c | 2,088$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,766$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 9c | 1,725$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 25c | 1,658$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c4d5backed Yes | 18c | 1,306$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 34c | 1,215$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,133$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 26c | 927.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…9389backed No | 80c | 915.21$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed No | 76c | 784$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 9c | 771.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 60c | 762.24$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.26 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 11c | 582.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7397backed Yes | 27c | 527.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 23c | 519.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 54c | 503.52$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…174bbacked Yes | 20c | 486.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…425fbacked Yes | 4c | 486$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…4902backed Yes | 4c | 466$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…a252backed Yes | 10c | 465.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…7915backed Yes | 9c | 416$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 79c | 396.35$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…1e68backed Yes | 4c | 345.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…a582backed No | 71c | 327.34$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 7c | 312.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…66ecbacked Yes | 9c | 301$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…7d91backed No | 78c | 297.57$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…d5febacked Yes | 21c | 296.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 12c | 287.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…0fedbacked No | 79c | 286.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed No | 74c | 271.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 8c | 259.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 17c | 253$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Yes | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…05b5backed Yes | 27c | 222.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 27c | 219.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa6…f50abacked Yes | 10c | 213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…01ccbacked Yes | 9c | 209$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 70c | 205.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 8c | 205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 11c | 199$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yes | 11c | 184.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…cb24backed Yes | 10c | 182$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5de…3474backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…b374backed Yes | 10c | 174$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 37c | 167.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…7c05backed Yes | 30c | 157.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…4fd3backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fc40backed Yes | 10c | 145$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…c288backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…3e83backed Yes | 9c | 137$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 22c | 134.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4686…5637backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…c003backed Yes | 50c | 126.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 14c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…a311backed Yes | 9c | 118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…dca1backed No | 80c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 15c | 110$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…d8b0backed Yes | 12c | 101.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 29c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 11c | 97.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…8b52backed Yes | 16c | 94.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…9b81backed No | 77c | 88.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…c705backed No | 77c | 75.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…9d04backed Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…bcefbacked No | 78c | 56.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…0f0fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked No | 79c | 46.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…0caabacked No | 70c | 39.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…8290backed No | 75c | 30.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…f6bbbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +10.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…87cbbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.