Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeed873361d49869c14cf9b9f5bbc4d1eb8810921e17d67d10db8dbe326bd7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87a4…ad53backed Yes | 7c | 3,029$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,964$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 2,691$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 2c | 2,354$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247b…6610backed Yes | 10c | 2,107$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…cb80backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…7df0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…c470backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ca…99b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,444$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 13c | 1,405$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 1,329$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…1f58backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…d39ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,118$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 10c | 1,102$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…327abacked Yes | 4c | 799.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 5c | 750.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 16c | 701.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 6c | 642.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 7c | 619.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…f9b9backed Yes | 29c | 564.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…94f6backed Yes | 7c | 458.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…40dcbacked Yes | 11c | 453.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 6c | 441.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…7eb0backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639b…99e7backed Yes | 12c | 303.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 300.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 8c | 282.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 15c | 258.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd9…8327backed Yes | 9c | 257$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 8c | 228$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…c975backed Yes | 14c | 212.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…4e48backed Yes | 8c | 207.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f162backed Yes | 11c | 203.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 8c | 199.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 6c | 198$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…bba5backed Yes | 11c | 189.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…bdabbacked Yes | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…6362backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked No | 80c | 164.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…d4febacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked Yes | 8c | 136.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…32d1backed No | 80c | 125.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…0f38backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 11c | 110.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 14c | 105.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 15c | 105.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad03…7803backed Yes | 22c | 104.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…c497backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…adf0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed No | 51c | 95.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 16c | 91.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 44c | 76.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9b98backed No | 79c | 56.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked No | 79c | 56.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…6ccfbacked No | 80c | 51.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…ef03backed No | 79c | 39.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.