Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Canisius vs. Rider
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d10ffa1fbe619983e173d2e2eef38292dbb4b95b2375d5ced7025939b8c357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riderof Canisius, Rider
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rider | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…59d9backed Canisius | 17c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…f430backed Canisius | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c3…8e89backed Canisius | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Canisius | 22c | 65.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…d41dbacked Canisius | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…10c4backed Canisius | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…604dbacked Rider | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…b277backed Canisius | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f2…65b7backed Canisius | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…0b1cbacked Canisius | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…9dd9backed Canisius | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cc…0cd2backed Rider | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…be1dbacked Canisius | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…130dbacked Canisius | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…b01abacked Canisius | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…975fbacked Rider | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…d9e5backed Rider | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rider | 78c | 28.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rider | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Rider | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…91e4backed Rider | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb5…6b39backed Rider | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a2…9445backed Rider | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…6342backed Rider | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…54f3backed Rider | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…14cdbacked Rider | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…ef26backed Rider | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…b550backed Rider | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…72e8backed Rider | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…198bbacked Rider | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…9093backed Rider | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…cfddbacked Rider | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…a608backed Rider | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…592abacked Rider | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…dee8backed Rider | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…5328backed Rider | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…5d42backed Rider | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…bc47backed Rider | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…f2dabacked Rider | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…1b31backed Rider | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Rider | 76c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.