Boxing · resolved market
Tyson vs. Paul - knockout in first 10 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ccc8522be468ae8b8203bb237eb1aa9cbbbec015c5ba3a91baa8c9f9fa5313b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…f8d9backed Yes | 4c | 7,638$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…77ecbacked Yes | 5c | 7,587$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 7,507$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,117$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…c4aabacked Yes | 2c | 4,853$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…d100backed Yes | 2c | 3,934$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,493$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,968$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 2,862$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05d…40c4backed Yes | 3c | 2,573$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…bf53backed Yes | 5c | 2,559$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…30a1backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…199ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,268$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…d1febacked Yes | 2c | 2,103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…47a9backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…88dbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,831$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…a67ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,818$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…6773backed Yes | 3c | 1,648$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…e26abacked Yes | 2c | 1,642$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,617$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…4238backed Yes | 3c | 1,506$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…6af8backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcc…ae59backed Yes | 1c | 1,408$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,308$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…ec2dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe874…7300backed Yes | 1c | 1,206$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,169$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…5f1cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,058$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e8…fedebacked Yes | 2c | 1,032$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f9…2607backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4943…f7b4backed Yes | 2c | 902.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dac…e1debacked Yes | 2c | 879.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…2d0fbacked Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Yes | 3c | 790.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…6420backed Yes | 4c | 776.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…006ebacked Yes | 2c | 776.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…038bbacked Yes | 4c | 675.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…22f7backed Yes | 2c | 660.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…bfdbbacked Yes | 2c | 626.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…6c57backed Yes | 3c | 519.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…f632backed Yes | 2c | 515.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…c226backed Yes | 5c | 501.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 2c | 500.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…7a9dbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…4638backed Yes | 2c | 498.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed Yes | 2c | 459.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…ab97backed Yes | 4c | 422.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…bfb0backed Yes | 6c | 385.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…e8ccbacked Yes | 3c | 333.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…46a5backed Yes | 4c | 244.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…783fbacked Yes | 4c | 243.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e4…90e7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.