Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d72fe0638a25f9e2b9b4460fc214b8b585e36caf9b1c85705ac3a9c04f5e2c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 7c | 7,509$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…29cdbacked Yes | 27c | 5,207$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 5c | 5,117$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…42aebacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 8c | 4,974$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 7c | 3,020$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 1c | 2,755$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…7687backed Yes | 4c | 2,715$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 5c | 1,774$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes | 21c | 1,684$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 13c | 1,662$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,288$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…3dacbacked Yes | 9c | 1,256$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 11c | 1,135$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…38a1backed No | 75c | 1,124$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…9337backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 5c | 979.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 6c | 969.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 5c | 967.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 73c | 839.99$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 776.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 761.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 2c | 749.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 19c | 739.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…010bbacked Yes | 22c | 676$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…dcedbacked Yes | 6c | 672.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 618.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 80c | 608.46$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked Yes | 6c | 607.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…23d7backed Yes | 20c | 594.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 3c | 563.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…373cbacked No | 76c | 510.65$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e74…e0a0backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 10c | 473.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 32c | 472.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…e16cbacked Yes | 8c | 469.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed No | 78c | 399.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes | 7c | 390$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…2003backed Yes | 4c | 384.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152a…e12dbacked Yes | 8c | 359.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…6ab4backed Yes | 6c | 329.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 4c | 290.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4444…c4fbbacked Yes | 10c | 265.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…e43cbacked Yes | 5c | 254.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…25bcbacked Yes | 7c | 220.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 18c | 220$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…1c1dbacked Yes | 8c | 217.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…8457backed Yes | 56c | 214$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 23c | 210.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…7085backed Yes | 10c | 202$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…f2cebacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 37c | 191.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…4458backed Yes | 13c | 189.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 21c | 175.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2497backed No | 78c | 175$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…e0ddbacked Yes | 22c | 175$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…b8f5backed Yes | 19c | 165.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 65c | 164.15$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 161.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…14f2backed Yes | 20c | 155.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 9c | 146.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a2…7c87backed No | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…0954backed Yes | 35c | 130.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…dcadbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…1710backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…f887backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…5215backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 40c | 88.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…9d07backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…b6b5backed No | 64c | 78.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 80c | 75.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7064backed Yes | 25c | 68.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…7fb5backed No | 71c | 67.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…8319backed No | 75c | 66.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…ad03backed Yes | 59c | 51.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…0139backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…4456backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…a975backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ff5dbacked No | 79c | 39.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…a1c8backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…b94fbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…8f31backed No | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…733fbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…bddfbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked No | 76c | 28.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…49edbacked No | 72c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…8404backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…a838backed No | 80c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…8035backed No | 80c | 17.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…73a9backed No | 79c | 16.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…4313backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.