F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7766a8bc9ede11b8e2a66a41664263110b54f49952ec623a8de19b9d84752e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 24c | 455.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 34c | 450$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 21c | 346.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 77c | 333.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…41bfbacked Yes | 20c | 305$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 63c | 300$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 17c | 270.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Yes | 23c | 259.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked Yes | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed Yes | 24c | 201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 199.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 78c | 160$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…4c35backed Yes | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…f10ebacked No | 71c | 148$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd52…f190backed Yes | 15c | 130.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…6d35backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…1b05backed Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…f0d8backed No | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 10c | 105.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 24c | 103.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…b6aebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…6faebacked Yes | 20c | 97.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…01ccbacked Yes | 15c | 94.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 15c | 86.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…3888backed No | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…a4b9backed No | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 22c | 54.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…e625backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bde…a062backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…9323backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 72c | 39.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 77c | 38.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…b462backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…93d4backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…8224backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…3581backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc349…754fbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?this page
- Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?Yes won
- Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.