Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afa81abe8f2f8759879f5ed19be4530c5bb66e845fce29356857735c50be55d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,311,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,311,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b63…eea8backed Yes | 0c | 62,110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…de92backed Yes | 0c | 54,312$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…44fdbacked Yes | 0c | 46,583$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5a…9a5bbacked Yes | 0c | 46,583$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…0378backed Yes | 0c | 46,514$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…0889backed Yes | 0c | 38,853$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…e5adbacked Yes | 0c | 38,785$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e756backed Yes | 0c | 38,785$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…27c1backed Yes | 0c | 38,785$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…c1e8backed Yes | 0c | 31,123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…08b7backed Yes | 0c | 31,123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…425ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…4762backed Yes | 0c | 31,123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…d658backed Yes | 0c | 31,055$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…ca20backed Yes | 0c | 31,055$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…53b0backed Yes | 0c | 31,055$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…de7fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,987$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…aebabacked Yes | 0c | 30,987$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d24…008cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,987$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…d317backed Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…d69dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4456…8233backed Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1105backed Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…b5eabacked Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…aac7backed Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…052dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…7e92backed Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…82d7backed Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…c1f4backed Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f2…fa83backed Yes | 0c | 23,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…8956backed Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…6ef4backed Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8baf…db12backed Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…823bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…86b7backed Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…ce9cbacked Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…a67cbacked Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…fa3abacked Yes | 0c | 23,257$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…3bd4backed Yes | 0c | 23,189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…44dcbacked Yes | 0c | 23,189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…c244backed Yes | 0c | 23,189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…9fffbacked Yes | 0c | 23,189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…3725backed Yes | 8c | 17,114$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…de93backed Yes | 0c | 15,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…3db8backed Yes | 0c | 15,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1c…e7c3backed Yes | 0c | 15,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…4f3cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c13…2fdcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…f9dfbacked Yes | 0c | 15,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…f9d8backed Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…486ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…8fa8backed Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1a…f599backed Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…dad8backed Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cb…ed95backed Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…c9eabacked Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…afedbacked Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…f084backed Yes | 0c | 15,528$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…234cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,459$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…910cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,459$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…36b8backed Yes | 0c | 15,459$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…8ef3backed Yes | 0c | 15,459$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…0c0bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,459$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…b209backed Yes | 0c | 15,459$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 5c | 9,268$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…7d2fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,816$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…79a4backed Yes | 0c | 7,353$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fa…dda7backed Yes | 0c | 7,335$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…cbd3backed Yes | 0c | 6,268$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…36efbacked Yes | 0c | 6,229$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…a8aabacked Yes | 0c | 6,190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,759$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 3c | 5,753$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 6c | 4,989$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…15f1backed Yes | 5c | 4,973$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 1c | 4,920$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 7c | 4,269$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 3,747$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 5c | 3,371$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 3,162$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…9971backed Yes | 3c | 2,503$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…a880backed Yes | 1c | 2,496$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,468$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 5c | 1,923$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…8447backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…e621backed Yes | 5c | 1,886$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…b7dabacked Yes | 11c | 1,838$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,809$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 1,774$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,657$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 4c | 1,486$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…d820backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…376dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,142$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 4c | 1,112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…dac6backed Yes | 18c | 999.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 2c | 944.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 9c | 940.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8f…83f2backed Yes | 5c | 905$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…5ad1backed Yes | 3c | 866.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2024?this page
- Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?No won
- Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?Yes won
- Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?No won
- Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024?No won
- Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?No won
- Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2024?No won
- Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2024? No won
- Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.